Ok, I wanted this blog to be pretty much only about the constitutencies and all the different angles and different outcomes the numbers could throw up. As readers should have spotted by now, I love my statistics. But if someone fiddles the numbers, I feel personally violated. Well, a tad aggrieved at least.
So for that reason I feel moved to highlight some poor form by the Liberal Democrats. This was spotted in my (fruitless) search for who their candidates are in various seats across Scotland.
Please see the graph in the top right hand corner at the folowing link - http://edinburghcentral-libdems.org.uk/
The difference between Lib Dem and SNP is 5% and the difference between Labour and Lib Dem is 9%. Yet note the different sizes in the coloured chart, Lib Dem's apparently breathing down Labour's neck with the SNP way out of the running.
I do happen to agree somewhat with the tagline "too close to call" but I maintain that this is a 3-way race, rather than a Lib-Dem vs Labour shoot-out. 2007 also sees a stronger challenge from SNP and the same candidate for Lib Dem, compared to 2003.
If I thought otherwise, I would genuinely urge SNP to vote Lib Dem as I would love to see the red hegemony toppled and Siobhan Mathers seems to have some cracking experience to bring to the Holyrood table. But there's no point giving up seats that are still there for the taking. Despite what some dubious bar charts may tell you.
The spectacular -evil- greed of Tony Blair
4 minutes ago
4 comments:
Shirley-Anne Sommerville has a far better chance than Ms Mathers. The SNP have been active across the constituency which is far more thanc an eb said for the Lib Dems. They changed their candidate at the last minute to squee=ze Ms mathers in. Doesn`t speak of a campaign going well to me.
Its a three-way fight and as such SNP supporters should get behind their candidate.
Hmm, interesting stuff. Being in Sydney, I am about as far away from the action as I can get but I can well imagine the SNP machine pounding its feet into the ground. I have heard that volunteering has never been higher.
Certainly the fact that Labour are polling lower, Lib Dems the same and SNP considerably higher is enough for me to think this is a 3-way race. The 2003 results only hold so much sway after all.
I do think Siobhan is a strong candidate for the Libs but I absolutely love Shirley's take on why Scotland should be independent. If her campaigning is as intelligent and sensible then I can see the voters of Ed Central backing her all the way.
So I agree, 3-way race, vote Shirley.
(Her chat on independence - from the mighty alba.org.uk)
'When we look around Europe we don't question Denmark's right to independence, we don't suggest to Norwegians that they might want to give up the right to govern themselves and we don't worry that the economy of Luxembourg is going to go bankrupt just because they have a population of less than half a million. We even congratulate countries like the Czech Republic and Slovakia when they achieve their own independence. No-one would have dreamt of suggesting to them that they didn't have the right to go their own way because they were too small or too stupid. Independence is normal. Countries have the right to make their own decisions and Scotland should be no different. I'm proud of my country and what we have achieved but we could do so much more if we were independent. All people living in Scotland and those who will move here to join us in the future can build a country which not only takes care of its own people but plays its full part on the world stage. There are currently 191 countries represented at the United Nations. Rather than having to explain why we should join them the real question is what is stopping us?
This "poor form" is common practice by the Lib Dems, they do it everywhere. In Aberdeen, they used Council election results for the entire city in their Parliament leaflet for Aberdeen North. And people believe them every time...
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