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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Scottish Budget - Fail to plan, plan to fail

So the budget bill has been defeated at Stage 2, by 64 votes to, well, 64.

I'll be honest, I had assumed that a deal was in the bag long ago between SNP, Tories and Green, that the political posturing in the media of late was just that, posturing.

Negotiations have been going on for months and if it comes down to last minute arm-twisting and frantic text messaging (which it did yesterday) then you're not going to get the ideal deal, whether it passes or not.

My honest impression is that the Greens have been treated rather shabbily but I must also say that Patrick and Robin may merely have won the propagnda war, given some comments from Richard Thomson suggesting that the Greens have been a tad dysfunctional over the past few months.

That said, the SNP form the Government, they should have had this locked down way, way in advance of yesterday. After all, it's a rather basic philosophy that you should have something organised and concluded long before any deadline arrives. Fail to plan then plan to fail.

Sadly it seems Parkinson's Law has been applied - work expands to fill the time available.

Labour have to take some of the blame for this, the Lib Dems are out of the picture and merit little further comment, Margo's done what Margo needed to do and the Tories come out smelling like roses.

I fear though that the Greens and the SNP will share most of the blame if this bill can't be passed and we are left in parliamentary limbo, even having an election forced upon us. All for something entirely avoidable. 100m is not a lot in a 33bn budget.

And as a last point, if the Greens home insulation bill costs 100m a year, and the SNP are broadly in favour of it, what shoddy version were they trying to squeeze in for 22m or 33m a year in the dying days, hours and minutes of the negotations?

The Scottish Government should have went for this policy 100% and reaped the praise that would surely have been theirs with a budget sailing through the chamber. They missed a golden opportunity to really seize the political momentum.

They will get a second chance, as will the Greens, but they have to set a better plan for thee negotiations or it is us the public who are going to be the real losers.

4 comments:

Richard Thomson said...

To be as fair as I feel like being, Jeff, I didn't accuse the Greens of being shifty - merely a tad dysfunctional.

At the start of the week, Patrick Harvie was still calling publicly for £100m - never going to happen, but fair enough as a negotiation tactic. However, the point of negotiation tactics is that whatever you say in public, you also indicate willing to move away from when in private, if that's what you're prepared to do.

I wasn't party to negotiations, but I find it incredible that if Partick Harvie would have settled for £33m, that he apparently only made this clear during the debate. And then having been offered it, he seemed unable to take 'yes' for an answer.

Clearly, my perspective is limited. However, given the apparent willing of John Swinney to do a deal, it suggests to me that Patrick Harvie might benefit from some negotiation classes. It looks like it needed a rare talent for him to fail to get what he claimed he would have been happy with.

Jeff said...

Apologies Richard, I fired this piece out rather fast as I was in an EcoLodge in the Grampians, 2 minutes of shy of literally taking a hike but I should have been more careful with the language, now changed.

That said, I still think the onus was on the SNP to ensure a deal was in the bag long, long before the vote took place.

I think both sides have been a bit sloppy on it but I don't think it was as unreasonable as you say for the Greens to hold out for 100m. The SNP have already said they are in favour of it in principle.

Maybe the 33m came about out of desperation or maybe the Greens were always planning on grandstanding at the last minute but the SNP should not have given them that chance and this should have all come to a head at least a week ago.

Unable to take yes for an answer, but that yes should have been offered earlier than the day of the vote.

Richard Thomson said...

Nae bother, Jeff. A matter of emphasis, that's all.

I agree it should have been wrapped up earlier. However, that would also have been dependent on the Greens having been prepared to move from their £100m (as we now know they were prepared to do) and more importantly, saying so in time for a deal to be concluded.

I could be wrong, but I simply don't believe that Harvie had asked for £33m beforehand. In fact, I'd put money on the debate being the first time he'd indicated any willing at all to settle for such a figure.

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