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Tuesday, July 21, 2009

T in the Dark


Fresh from the furore over the loss of Diageo jobs in Kilmarnock and Port Dundas, the latest blow to the drinks industry in Scotland is that Tennent's lager is looking likely to be dropped from the portfolio of AB Inbev as the global drinks giant seeks to make savings.

The impact looks set to hit Glasgow North East the hardest as the brewery is based in Springburn.

Personally, if the worst does happen, I just hope there isn't a repeat of the outcry that we saw over Diageo. Yes, the politicians should do all they can to safeguard jobs and yes it would be a sad sight if Tennents had its glasses drained but business is full of ups and downs, though if you can't control your own destiny you're probably more likely to have more of the downs than ups.

I don't know who packaged up Johnnie Walker and Tennent's and sold them on to foreign owners but at that point Scottish control over the brands and jobs is lost. We've all seen Dragon's Den, we know how the game works. Let's just say Irn-Bru won't leave us in this predicament any time soon.

It seems there are still many who want to have their beer and drink it with these stories. We want to reap the rewards of a global player taking charge of our best brands and selling them around the world but then throw our hands up in the air in disgust when our brands are dropped because they don't fit into a business plan somewhere in Amsterdam or Belgium.

Given how cheaply we sell off our own big drinking companies I think we have to rethink our strategy on this one. Looking back, was the handing over of Scottish & Newcastle to Carlsberg really our smartest move? Though to be fair, the game was up when S&N became a publicly listed company back in 1995 allowing the investment banks to trade one of our biggest companies like a commodity in a board game.

I know we can't go down the isolationist path too much but I just wonder if we're trying to play Wall St and Canary Wharf at their own game and getting thoroughly shafted at every turn. Scottish Power, Scottish & Newcastle, Johnnie Walker, HBOS all haemhorraging capital and jobs out the door because we're simply not sharp enough at the Capitalist street fight.

When did we decide dealing in stocks and shares was for us Scots anyway? I wonder how likely it is that a Scandinavian country or Ireland would allow its nation's most popular drink stagger into ruin while looking helplessly on. From what I understand, they have much stronger safeguards from preventing that from happening. Or perhaps I'm just wrong and the Swedes and Norwegians are just more likely to take to the streets if they ever thought about moving Absolut or Tuborg into Continental Europe.

Thankfully, with Scottish ingenuinty, creativity and entrepreneurial spirit ensuring that new brands will always come through the market we don't need to hold on quite as tightly to our beloved brands as we otherwise might. Innes & Gunn, Prostrakan, Cairn Energy, Rockstar North and Scottish & Southern Energy to name but several Scottish success stories have just as much potential as companies and brands that we may never see back again.

So as sad as it would be to see Tennents go, we have plenty of household names in reserve to fall back on though we should think more carefully about how we use them to our advantage in the future.

15 comments:

Leaves on the line said...

"We want to reap the rewards of a global player taking charge of our best brands and selling them around the world"

Alas that is not the case: For instance, underneath the "good news" that the Whisky industry tells us about Scotch sales going up, what they fail to say is that vlums in 2008 actually went down by 8%. Employment depends on volumes.

What is actually happening is that these multinationals are not investing in Scotch, nor are they improving the market for Scotch. They're just getting very clever at getting more margin out of the product.

And that is what is important and worrying about the Kilmarnock decision. Diageo loves selling Vodka - it can be made from any old vegetable by-products, distilled, bottled, sold & shipped within a week. It doesn't like Whisky so much - which, as we all know takes 10 years or more to become a saleable product.

What they are doing is trying to consolidate as much of the Whisky production into the massive cheap & nasty spirit production facilities - and what happened at Cardhu shows that they are even willing to taint the provenance of Scotch in order to get the stuff to market quicker too. This isn't about investment or protecting the industry - far from it, its just about squeezing as much margin from the operations without going to the expense of doing anything to improve volumes - and therefore production and ultimately employment.

Anonymous said...

Tennants lager is undrinkable to anyone who doesn't see drinking it as an affirmation of their Scottishness. Unlike Guiness this isn't a brand that is going to conquer the world.

Jeff said...

A very good point LotL and another reason why ceding control leaves you no longer the master (or mistress) of your own destiny.

Then again, the 'old skool' approach didn't work out too well for the makers of Harris Tweed so there's two sides to every coin. I'm sure Diageo would be delighted if volumes AND margins increased.

And Tennent's Lager being not the tastiest of drinks is somewhat beside the point as the worldwide success of Heineken and Carlsberg ensure there is a global market for cooking lager out there...!

Jim said...

I couldn't really care about Tennents lager as a brand. The job losses are as horrible as the job losses at Compaq or Motorola / Freescale, but have the same level of impact for me.

In regards to Diageo though, successive Scottish authorities have fought to protect the image and identity of Scotch whisky. Diageo have benefited from that and should respect the wishes of the Scottish people that a globally recognised brand such as Johnny Walker remains something to be cherished.

It's not as if the massive profits generated from this product are keeping the directors of Diageo in penury.

sm753 said...

"Given how cheaply we sell off our own big drinking companies I think we have to rethink our strategy on this one."

Who's this "we"?

Were you an S&N shareholder?

Nobody else had a vote, nor should they have had.

"Though to be fair, the game was up when S&N became a publicly listed company back in 1995 "

Who owned it pre-1995? Again, its shareholders. I don't recall it ever being some sort of popular co-operative.

"When did we decide dealing in stocks and shares was for us Scots anyway?"

That would have been around 1695, I believe. What alternative are you proposing?

Have a look at An-Bev's brand list:

* Stella Artois
* Becks
* Budweiser

* Leffe
* Hoegaarden
* Staropramen

Alexander Keith's Antarctica Aqua Fratelli Vita Astika Fine Quality Lager Baisha BagBier Bass Belle-Vue Bergenbier Boddingtons Bohemia Boomerang Borostyán Borsodi Sör Bozicno Bud Light (U.S.) Bud Light (Canada) Cafri Caracu Cass Castlemaine XXXX Chernigivske Diebels Diekirch Dimix Dommelsch
Double Deer Franziskaner weissbier Franziskaner Hefe-Weissbier Hell Franziskaner Hefe-Weissbier Dunkel Franziskaner Weissbier Kristallklar Gilde Ratskeller Guaraná Antarctica Guaraná Brahma Haake-Beck Harbin Hasserõder Hertog Jan Hoegaarden Citrons Hougaerdse Das Jelen Pivo Jinling Jinlongquan Julius Jupiler KK Klinskoye Kamenitza Kokanee La Bécasse Labatt Blue Labatt Blue Light
Labatt Family Labatt Ice Labatt Sterling Lakeport Pilsener Liber Löwenbräu Löwenbräu Oktoberfestbier Löwenbräu Original Marathon Michelob Lager Mousel Murphy's Nik Cool Nik Gold Niksicko Pivo Niksicko Tamno Noroc OB Oranjeboom Ozujsko Pivo Paceña Permskoye Gubernskoye Piedboeuf Phoenix Quilmes Cristal Red Shilliang
Rifey Rogan Safir Santai Sedrin Sibirskaya Korona Skol Spaten Original Munich Beer St. Pauli Girl Staropramen Sukita Taller Tennent's Tolstiak Tomislav Vieux Temps Yali Yantar Zizhulin Zhujiang

Munguin said...

Who can forget Creamola Foam? Such a sad loss.

Jeff said...

sm753,

"we" as a democratic nation. We get to set our own rules. And given the devastating recession caused in no small part by stocks and shares, maybe we need to have a rethink is all I'm saying. You may disagree, but at least recognise there's a debate worth having.

As a Chartered Accountant, I'm perfectly capable of understanding that only S&N shareholders had a vote but given those shareholders were investment banks and global hedge funds I just thought it might be worth raising an objection given their decisions impact on local jobs and civic life here in Scotland.

At some point, many companies go from being locally owned, relatively socialist operations to being gobbled up by global chains from when only the profit margins seem to matter.

So all I'm saying is, as a country, we can change the game so that this doesn't necessarily have to be the case, if we want to.

I'm not sure why you're being so sniffy and I'm not sure why you pasted in all those names of drinks, but thanks for stopping by nonetheless...

Holyrood Patter said...

interesting youy mention rockstar north, think this exec has excelled compared to its predecessor with regards to that industry. looked over the negative geek connatations of the video game industry, sidestepped the furore over rockstars biggest seller (Grand theft auto) and his ministers like john swinney and msps like joe fitzpatrick drawing attention to an indsutry which brings millions to scotland.


as for tennents, it still sells well. you know more about finance than me, but i believe AB is a financial oddity thrown up by comapnies having sporadic investments, across a bizarre range of industries, making it impossible to manage as one entity

Stuart Winton said...

"I wonder how likely it is that a Scandinavian country or Ireland would allow its nation's most popular drink stagger into ruin while looking helplessly on. From what I understand, they have much stronger safeguards from preventing that from happening. Or perhaps I'm just wrong and the Swedes and Norwegians are just more likely to take to the streets if they ever thought about moving Absolut or Tuborg into Continental Europe."

Not sure about what you mean by 'safeguards', Jeff, but wouldn't it be contrary to EU rules for member governments to interfere in any way in cross-border share tradeing and takeovers etc? Free movement of capital and all that?

I may be wrong, but isn't these the kind of rules that the French are accused of breaking all the time but the law-abiding UK is gold-plating this kind of stuff ;0)

Anonymous said...

Prior to the recent debacle, our largest - and it dwarfed everything else - company, RBS, was owned mostly by persons and institutions outside of Scotland. There is no such thing as a "Scottish" company where that enterprise is listed on a stock exchange. Buyers are often institutional, and they must by their nature comprise mostly non Scottish funds, as we conveniently sold off/ demutualised the handful that were notionally Scottish in exchange for windfalls during the recently burst frenzy.

We really are a lesson for economists. What would our ancestors make of us? Compare Scotlands companies to say Germany. Giant world leading companies are owned by individual families. Liebherr, VW, BMW to name just a couple of the familiars. Our lot seemed to sell out and move out.

I despair of this place. Whas like us? Thankfully damned few.

Jeff said...

Stuart, I guess I didn't have anything specific in mind but even keeping Scottish businesses as Family-owned or persudading the Tom Hunters etc to have a 25%+ stake in certain up and coming companies to prevent aggressive takeovers would be the kind of 'safeguards' i had in mind. Scandinavian countries seem to have more of that kind of mindset, maybe Scotland should too.

Free Thinker said...

Tennants lager is shite.

An Donas said...

Give power to the communities. Regarding distilleries, if crofting communities and islands can own their own land, why can't distilleries? It should be considered. Crofting communities have legislation to support them and i'm sure we could find a way to support distilleries and their communities in the same way.

It should be remembered that some of the biggest football clubs in the world are owned by their fans/ communities - i.e. Barcelona and Real Madrid. Some of the Dutch and German clubs have also gone down this route.

Slàinte.

sm753 said...

"At some point, many companies go from being locally owned, relatively socialist operations to being gobbled up by global chains "

Your picture of family / privately-owned companies as being "relatively socialist" doesn't match up with my experiences!

Sorry about the list of drinks; I think I was trying to make the point that it's futile regarding this firm as in any way "Scottish"; they have hundreds of other fish on the frier.

And, for the first and only time, let me agree with FreeThinker - Tennents really is sh!te.

It doesn't just taste awful. It doesn't even "do the job".

I remember one teenage New Year which involved the determined consumption of a double-digit quantity of cans of Tennents.

I went from sober to needing to wee and belch a lot to being hungover without ever getting drunk.

Great.

Stuart Winton said...

sm753 said:

"I remember one teenage New Year which involved the determined consumption of a double-digit quantity of cans of Tennents.

"I went from sober to needing to wee and belch a lot to being hungover without ever getting drunk."

I remember that bit as well - I think that's why they brought out Tennent's Super Lager :0)