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Friday, August 28, 2009

EXCLUSIVE: BPPA to sponsor SNP's Donaldson Lecture

The SNP have had a reasonably tough time at the moment so good news comes in the shape of Bell Pottinger Public Affairs sponsoring the Donaldson Lecture at the SNP's Autumn Conference in October.

There were ripples of controversy when BPPA moved from supporting the Labour party conference to the Tory party conference (only for the Tory champagne reception to be switched to a Policy Exchange party in the end).

So it is a real shot in the arm for the SNP that the mighty London political consultants are giving such a strong show of support to the party.

And the offer has been confirmed by the SNP in the past 15 minutes so this really is hot off the press...

6 comments:

Wardog said...

Interesting indeed.

Does this signal a 'can do & listening' government or a government easier penetrated by lobbyists?

Montague Burton said...

Excellent news. Well done on this exclusive...

Anonymous said...

O/T Read this peeps

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article6814939.ece

Stuart Dickson said...

"… from Yougov in the Mail on Sunday’s Scottish edition. The poll was conducted between the 26th and 28th August, so hot on the heels of the last YouGov Scotland poll, which was done between the 24th and 26th. The voting intention figures, each with changes from the previous poll 2 days before, are as follows:

Westminster: CON 20%(+1), LAB 30%(-3), LDEM 18%(+2), SNP 26%(+1)
Holyrood Constituency: CON 16%(nc), LAB 27%(-4), LDEM 16%(nc), SNP 34%(+1)
Holyrood Regional: CON 16%(-1), LAB 26%(-2), LDEM 16%(+1), SNP 30%(+3)

It’s a very short time span since the previous poll, but then, it’s also a fast moving story. It’s perfectly possible that all these differences are just variations within the margin of error. Alternatively, it could be a bit of a shift back towards the SNP as debate over the al-Megrahi release continues."


http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/

Stuart Dickson said...

POLL ALERT?

Is there yet another poll today that is only in the dead tree edition of the Sunday Times Scotland?? AFAIAA there is only this fleeting reference to it:

‘SNP makes nuclear subs a prime target’

“The SNP has said it intends to use opposition to basing nuclear weapons in Scottish waters as a main part of its campaign for independence. The announcement comes as a Sunday Times poll has found that more than 60% of Scots want them removed from the Clyde.”

The Sunday Times Scotland use YouGov as their pollster.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/scotland/article6815068.ece

Stuart Dickson said...

If we pump those YouGov/Scottish Mail on Sunday through the Baxter Westminster seat calculator, we get:

Lab 34 seats (-6)
LD 12 seats (+1)
SNP 8 seats (+2)
Con 5 seats (+4)
(Speaker 0 (-1))

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/scotland.html

This is the best finding for the Scottish Lib Dems since late 2005/early 2006, when they knifed Charlie Kennedy.


If we pump those YouGov/Scottish Mail on Sunday through the Scotland Votes Holyrood seat calculator, we get:

SNP 44 MSPs (-3)
Lab 40 MSPs (-6)
LD 22 MSPs (+6)
Con 20 MSPs (+3)
Grn 3 MSPs (+1)
(Ind 0 (-1))

http://www.scotlandvotes.com/

65 MSPs are required to form a majority government. This could be achieved:

SNP + LD = 66 MSPs (a common combination at local govt level)
LAB + LD + GRN = 65 MSPs (this is the so-called "Traffic-light Coalition")

Note: it is very hard to use this seat calculator until we have the full YouGov datasheets, because a tiny number of Green or SSP votes can knock out the figures a fair bit, due to the bottom places on the regional list being extremely tight.